Club Friendlies 3
Feb 13, 2026 4.00pm
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg vs Kairat - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 1.00pm
Orenburg 3 - 1 Bunyodkor

Kairat

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 1.00pm
Varazdin 0 - 0 Kairat

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Orenburg win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw has a probability of 23.25% and a win for Kairat has a probability of 16.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.21%) , while for a Kairat win it is 0-1 (5.94%).

Result

Orenburg 60.04% (+19.25)
Draw 23.25% (-1.86)
Kairat 16.71% (-17.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.1% (-10.00)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.44% (-3.91)
Under 1.5 26.56% (+3.90)
Over 2.5 50.66% (-3.05)
Under 2.5 49.34% (+3.05)
Over 3.5 28.51% (-2.89)
Under 3.5 71.49% (+2.90)
Over 4.5 17.13% (-0.52)
Under 4.5 82.87% (+0.53)

First Half Winner

Orenburg 42.78% (+42.78)
Draw 40.72% (+40.72)
Kairat 16.5% (+16.50)

Team To Score First

Orenburg 63.83% (+63.83)
No Goal 7.7% (+7.70)
Kairat 28.47% (+28.47)

Corners

Over 8 47.22% (+47.22)
Equal 8 12.08% (+12.08)
Under 8 40.7% (+40.71)
Over 9 35.9% (+35.90)
Equal 9 11.32% (+11.32)
Under 9 52.78% (+52.78)
Over 10.5 26.12% (+26.12)
Under 10.5 73.88% (+73.88)

Orenburg Goals

Over 1.5 53.54% (+11.58)
Under 1.5 46.46% (-11.58)
Over 2.5 27.7% (+9.56)
Under 2.5 72.3% (-9.55)
Over 3.5 11.11% (+4.76)
Under 3.5 88.89% (-4.77)

Kairat Goals

Over 0.5 50.91% (-18.39)
Under 0.5 49.09% (+18.40)
Over 1.5 19.04% (-17.43)
Under 1.5 80.96% (+17.42)
Over 2.5 5.02% (-9.45)
Under 2.5 94.98% (+9.44)
Over 3.5 1.22% (-3.44)
Under 3.5 98.78% (+3.44)

Score analysis

Orenburg 60.05%
Draw 23.25%
Kairat 16.72%
Orenburg
1-0 @ 12.94% (+4.14)
2-0 @ 10.57% (+4.03)
2-1 @ 9.79% (+1.02)
3-0 @ 6.87% (+3.62)
3-1 @ 5.93% (+1.59)
3-2 @ 2.92% (+0.01)
Other @ 11.03% (+4.86)
Total : 60.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.21% (-1.60)
0-0 @ 7.7% (+1.79)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-1.50)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.10)
Total : 23.25%
Kairat
0-1 @ 5.94% (-1.98)
1-2 @ 4.74% (-3.16)
0-2 @ 1.97% (-3.34)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-1.53)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-2.46)
Other @ 1.14% (-3.33)
Total : 16.72%