Club Friendlies 3
Feb 15, 2026 8.00am
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht

Sochi vs Rodina Moskva - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sochi

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 1.00pm
Sochi 0 - 3 Makhachkala

Rodina Moskva

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 2.00pm
Ufa 2 - 2 Rodina Moskva

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rodina Moskva win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rodina Moskva win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Sochi win was 1-0 (10.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result

Sochi 34.3% (-0.81)
Draw 27.2% (+0.10)
Rodina Moskva 38.5% (+0.80)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.2% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.65% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 29.35% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 44.8% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 55.2% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 23.5% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 76.5% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 12.08% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 87.92% (+0.11)

Sochi Goals

Over 1.5 32.11% (-0.71)
Under 1.5 67.89% (+0.71)
Over 2.5 11.46% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 88.54% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 3.25% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 96.75% (+0.19)

Rodina Moskva Goals

Over 0.5 69.88% (+0.55)
Under 0.5 30.12% (-0.56)
Over 1.5 35.47% (+0.55)
Under 1.5 64.53% (-0.55)
Over 2.5 13.45% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 86.55% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 4.06% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 95.94% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Sochi 34.31%
Draw 27.2%
Rodina Moskva 38.51%
Sochi
1-0 @ 10.09% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 5.99% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 2.4% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.17% (-0.19)
Total : 34.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.9% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.49% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 27.2%
Rodina Moskva
0-1 @ 10.79% (+0.20)
1-2 @ 8.26% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 6.92% (+0.21)
1-3 @ 3.51% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.97% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 3.98% (+0.13)
Total : 38.51%