Club Friendlies 3
Feb 15, 2026 8.00am
Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht

Sochi vs Rodina Moskva - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sochi

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 1.00pm
Sochi 0 - 3 Makhachkala

Rodina Moskva

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 2.00pm
Ufa 2 - 2 Rodina Moskva

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rodina Moskva win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Sochi has a probability of 34.3% and a draw has a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rodina Moskva win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Sochi win is 1-0 (10.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.9%).

Result

Sochi 34.3% (-0.81)
Draw 27.2% (+0.10)
Rodina Moskva 38.5% (+0.80)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.2% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.65% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 29.35% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 44.8% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 55.2% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 23.5% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 76.5% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 12.08% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 87.92% (+0.11)

Sochi Goals

Over 1.5 32.11% (-0.71)
Under 1.5 67.89% (+0.71)
Over 2.5 11.46% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 88.54% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 3.25% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 96.75% (+0.19)

Rodina Moskva Goals

Over 0.5 69.88% (+0.55)
Under 0.5 30.12% (-0.56)
Over 1.5 35.47% (+0.55)
Under 1.5 64.53% (-0.55)
Over 2.5 13.45% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 86.55% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 4.06% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 95.94% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Sochi 34.31%
Draw 27.2%
Rodina Moskva 38.51%
Sochi
1-0 @ 10.09% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 5.99% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 2.4% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.17% (-0.19)
Total : 34.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.9% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.49% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 27.2%
Rodina Moskva
0-1 @ 10.79% (+0.20)
1-2 @ 8.26% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 6.92% (+0.21)
1-3 @ 3.51% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.97% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 3.98% (+0.13)
Total : 38.51%