Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rodina Moskva win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Sochi has a probability of 34.2% and a draw has a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rodina Moskva win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Sochi win is 1-0 (10%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.89%).