Club Friendlies 3
Feb 20, 2026 2.00pm
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg vs Rubin Kazan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 4.00pm
Orenburg 0 - 0 Nizhny Novgorod

Rubin Kazan

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 2.00pm
Rubin Kazan 0 - 0 Pakhtakor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw has a probability of 27.2% and a win for Orenburg has a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.43%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.69%) , while for a Orenburg win it is 1-0 (9.11%).

Result

Orenburg 25.3% (-0.31)
Draw 27.2%
Rubin Kazan 47.5% (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.7% (-0.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.6% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 32.4% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 41.2% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 58.8% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 20.6% (-0.40)
Under 3.5 79.3% (+0.30)
Over 4.5 10.53% (-0.23)
Under 4.5 89.47% (+0.22)

Orenburg Goals

Over 1.5 22.89% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 77.11% (+0.46)
Over 2.5 6.61% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 93.39% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 1.51% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 98.49% (+0.08)

Rubin Kazan Goals

Over 0.5 74.1% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 25.9% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 40.01% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 59.99% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 16.29% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 83.71% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 5.27% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 94.73% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Orenburg 25.3%
Draw 27.21%
Rubin Kazan 47.51%
Orenburg
1-0 @ 9.11% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.97% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 4.26% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 1.85% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.36% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.46% (-0.08)
Total : 25.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 9.73% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.01)
Total : 27.21%
Rubin Kazan
0-1 @ 13.58% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 9.43% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.41% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.05)
Other @ 5.22% (-0.05)
Total : 47.51%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Aug 30, 2025 12.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 30
May 24, 2025 2.30pm
4
2
HT : 3 2
FT Kazan' Arena
  • Dardan Shabanhaxhaj 5' goal
  • Mirlind Daku 7' goal
  • Dardan Shabanhaxhaj 24' goal
  • Dardan Shabanhaxhaj 56' yellowcard
  • Veldin Hodza 61' yellowcard
  • Bogdan Jocic 88' goal
  • goal Jimmy Marin 11'
  • yellowcard Yaroslav Mikhailov 18'
  • goal Braian Mansilla 22'
  • yellowcard Danila Prokhin 56'
  • yellowcard Kazimcan Karatas 74'
  • yellowcard Artem Kasimov 87'
  • yellowcard Saeid Saharkhizan Gendishmin 89'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 13
Oct 27, 2024 9.00am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Saeid Saharkhizan Gendishmin 27' goal
  • Braian Mansilla 76' yellowcard
  • Ivan Basic 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dmitry Kabutov 33'
  • goal Veldin Hodza 48'
  • yellowcard Egor Teslenko 64'
  • goal Veldin Hodza 87'
  • yellowcard Veldin Hodza 88'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 23
Apr 8, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • David Deogracia 35' yellowcard
  • Dmitriy Vorobyev 58' goal
  • Dmitriy Vorobyev 65' yellowcard
  • Aleksandr Zotov 82' yellowcard
  • Danila Khotulev 87' goal
  • Jimmy Marin 89' goal
  • Jimmy Marin 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jimmy Marin 85'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 2
Jul 30, 2023 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kazan' Arena
  • Joel Fameyeh 35' goal
  • Uguchukwu Iwu 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Vera 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Matias Perez 56'
  • goal Matias Perez 81'
  • yellowcard Leo Goglichidze 90'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 26
Jul 5, 2020 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kazan Arena
  • Denis Makarov 67' goal
  • Ilya Samoshnikov 85' yellowcard
  • Carl Starfelt 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Artyom Kulishev 22'
  • yellowcard Georgy Zotov 72'