Feb 20, 2026 2.00pm

0

0

HT : 1 0

FT Stadion Gazovik

Bolotov 30'

Orenburg vs Rubin Kazan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions

D
W
D
L
W
W

Club Friendlies 3

D
W
L
D
W
W

Last game

Feb 20, 2026 10.00am

Orenburg 0 - 0 Rodina Moskva

Rubin Kazan

All competitions

L
W
D
W
W
W

Club Friendlies 3

L
W
D
W
W
W

Last game

Feb 20, 2026 8.00am

Rubin Kazan 0 - 1 Orenburg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%) , while for a Orenburg win it was 1-0 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

Orenburg 25.5% ▲ (+0.20)

Draw 27.1% ▼ (-0.10)

Rubin Kazan 47.4% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score:

46.3% ▲ (+0.60)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.15% ▲ (+0.56)

Under 1.5 31.85% ▼ (-0.55)

Over 2.5 41.8% ▲ (+0.60)

Under 2.5 58.2% ▼ (-0.60)

Over 3.5 21.2% ▲ (+0.60)

Under 3.5 78.8% ▼ (-0.50)

Over 4.5 10.88% ▲ (+0.36)

Under 4.5 89.12% ▼ (-0.35)

Orenburg Goals

Over 1.5 23.34% ▲ (+0.45)

Under 1.5 76.66% ▼ (-0.46)

Over 2.5 6.83% ▲ (+0.22)

Under 2.5 93.17% ▼ (-0.22)

Over 3.5 1.59% ▲ (+0.09)

Under 3.5 98.41% ▼ (-0.08)

Rubin Kazan Goals

Over 0.5 74.26% ▲ (+0.17)

Under 0.5 25.74% ▼ (-0.17)

Over 1.5 40.33% ▲ (+0.33)

Under 1.5 59.67% ▼ (-0.33)

Over 2.5 16.52% ▲ (+0.24)

Under 2.5 83.48% ▼ (-0.23)

Over 3.5 5.39% ▲ (+0.13)

Under 3.5 94.61% ▼ (-0.13)

Score analysis

Orenburg 25.51%

Draw 27.1%

Rubin Kazan 47.39%

Orenburg

1-0 @ 9.04% ▼ (-0.08)

2-1 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.05)

2-0 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.05)

3-1 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.07)

3-0 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.02)

3-2 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.07)

Other @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.09)

Total : 25.51%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.7% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.23)

2-2 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.09)

Other @ 0.05%

Total : 27.1%

Rubin Kazan

0-1 @ 13.3% ▼ (-0.28)

0-2 @ 9.36% ▼ (-0.08)

1-2 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.03)

0-3 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.05)

1-3 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.07)

2-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.08)

Other @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.13)

Total : 47.39%

Head to Head

Feb 20, 2026 8.00am

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Ak Bars Arena

Bolotov 30'

Aug 30, 2025 12.00pm

2

2

HT : 0 0

FT

May 24, 2025 2.30pm

4

2

HT : 3 2

FT Kazan' Arena

Dardan Shabanhaxhaj 5'
Mirlind Daku 7'
Dardan Shabanhaxhaj 24'
Dardan Shabanhaxhaj 56'
Veldin Hodza 61'
Bogdan Jocic 88'

Jimmy Marin 11'
Yaroslav Mikhailov 18'
Braian Mansilla 22'
Danila Prokhin 56'
Kazimcan Karatas 74'
Artem Kasimov 87'
Saeid Saharkhizan Gendishmin 89'

Oct 27, 2024 9.00am

1

2

HT : 1 0

FT Stadion Gazovik

Saeid Saharkhizan Gendishmin 27'
Braian Mansilla 76'
Ivan Basic 90'+2'

Dmitry Kabutov 33'
Veldin Hodza 48'
Egor Teslenko 64'
Veldin Hodza 87'
Veldin Hodza 88'

Apr 8, 2024 3.00pm

3

0

HT : 0 0

FT Stadion Gazovik

David Deogracia 35'
Dmitriy Vorobyev 58'
Dmitriy Vorobyev 65'
Aleksandr Zotov 82'
Danila Khotulev 87'
Jimmy Marin 89'
Jimmy Marin 89'

Jimmy Marin 85'

Jul 30, 2023 1.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Kazan' Arena

Joel Fameyeh 35'
Uguchukwu Iwu 72'

Lucas Vera 45'+1'
Matias Perez 56'
Matias Perez 81'
Leo Goglichidze 90'

Form Data

Orenburg 0 - 0 Rodina Moskva

Rubin Kazan 0 - 1 Orenburg

Orenburg 0 - 0 Nizhny Novgorod

Orenburg 0 - 1 Kairat

Orenburg 2 - 1 Alashkert

Orenburg 5 - 1 Bunyodkor

Rubin Kazan 0 - 1 Orenburg

Rubin Kazan 2 - 0 Pakhtakor

Rubin Kazan 0 - 0 Kairat

Rubin Kazan 2 - 0 Navbahor

Rubin Kazan 2 - 0 Zhenys

Rubin Kazan 3 - 1 Borac Banja Luka