Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.21% and a win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 18.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%) , while for a Akron Tolyatti win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.