Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Makhachkala win with a probability of 46.3%. A draw had a probability of 30.32% and a win for Andijan had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Makhachkala win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.72%) , while for a Andijan win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.