Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 36.54%. A win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Dynamo Makhachkala win was 0-1 (11.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.