Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 35.04%. A win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 30.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.24%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Dynamo Makhachkala win was 1-0 (12.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.