Russian Premier League Gameweek 20
Mar 8, 2026 9.00am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Pedro 62' goal
  • G. Guzina 71' yellowcard
  • E. Bolotov 76' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Kul 76' yellowcard
  • E. Bolotov 86' goal
  • A. Tataev 88' yellowcard
  • Philipp Hilmer 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gustavo Mantuan 9'
  • goal Aleksandr Sobolev 11'
  • yellowcard Wilmar Barrios 62'
  • yellowcard Wilmar Barrios 66'
  • yellowcard Daniil Kondakov 78'
  • yellowcard Andrey Mostovoy 78'
  • yellowcard Jhon Durán 84'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Erokhin 84'
  • yellowcard 84'
  • yellowcard Andrey Mostovoy 90'+6'

Orenburg vs Zenit St Petersburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 9.00am
Orenburg 2 - 0 Akron
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
M. Savelyev

Zenit St Petersburg

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 4.30pm
Zenit 1 - 0 Baltika
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Luiz Henrique

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 49%. A draw had a probability of 28.36% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.35%) and 1-2 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%) , while for a Orenburg win it was 1-0 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

Orenburg 22.61% (+0.04)
Draw 28.36% (-0.07)
Zenit St Petersburg 49% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.08% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.13% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 36.87% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 36.68% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 63.32% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 17.63% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 82.37% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 9.13% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 90.87% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Orenburg 22.43% (-0.02)
Draw 44.12% (+0.01)
Zenit St Petersburg 33.45%

Team To Score First

Orenburg 36.26% (-0.07)
No Goal 12.18% (-0.06)
Zenit St Petersburg 51.56% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 40.13% (-0.11)
Equal 8 12.32% (+0.07)
Under 8 47.55% (+0.05)
Over 9 29.22% (-0.16)
Equal 9 10.91% (+0.05)
Under 9 59.87% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 20.34% (-0.17)
Under 10.5 79.66% (+0.16)

Orenburg Goals

Over 1.5 19.13% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 80.87% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 5.2% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 94.8% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.25% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.75% (-0.02)

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5 72.7% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 27.3% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 38.15% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 61.85% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 15.13% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 84.87% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.83% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.17% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Orenburg 22.61%
Draw 28.38%
Zenit St Petersburg 48.99%
Orenburg
1-0 @ 9.01%
2-1 @ 5.08% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.74%
3-1 @ 1.46% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.24% (+0.03)
Total : 22.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 12.18% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.43% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.38%
Zenit St Petersburg
0-1 @ 15.66% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 10.35% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.57% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.64% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.68% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.82% (+0.05)
Total : 48.99%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Sep 27, 2025 5.30pm
5
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 9.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Aleksandr Kovalenko 31' yellowcard
  • Aleksandr Kovalenko 38' redcard
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Sobolev 19'
  • goal Aleksandr Erokhin 90'+6'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2024 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Pennaguer Bihan 1
  • Gustavo Mantuan 61' goal
  • Wendel 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrey Malykh 59'
  • yellowcard Maksim Sidorov 72'
  • yellowcard Stepan Oganesyan 74'
  • yellowcard Mohammad Ghorbani 90'+5'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 25
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Saint Petersburg Stadium
  • Claudinho 23' goal
  • Nino 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Perez 44'
  • yellowcard David Deogracia 45'
  • yellowcard Leo Goglichidze 55'
  • yellowcard Maksim Sidorov 66'
  • yellowcard Danila Prokhin 70'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 10.00am
3
1
HT : 3 2
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Dmitriy Vorobyev 7' goal
  • Renato Gojkovic 14' yellowcard
  • Matias Perez 25' goal
  • Braian Mansilla 36' goal
  • Maksim Sidorov 49' yellowcard
  • Braian Mansilla 72' yellowcard
  • Justin Cuero 81' yellowcard
  • Ivan Basic 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Gustavo Mantuan 2'
  • goal Gustavo Mantuan 3'
  • yellowcard Rodrigao 90'+1'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 28
May 20, 2023 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Aleksandr Ektov 41' goal
  • Renato Gojkovic 62' goal
  • goal Gustavo Mantuan 28'
  • goal Ivan Sergeev 90'+5'