Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Akron Tolyatti win was 1-0 (10.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.