Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.58% and a win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 14.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%) , while for a Akron Tolyatti win it was 0-1 (5.21%).