Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akron Tolyatti win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Akron Tolyatti win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (9.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.