Russian Premier League
Mar 15, 2026 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Samara Arena
  • Maksim Kuzmin 59' yellowcard
  • K. Arévalo 69' yellowcard
  • Nikita Bazilevskiy 81' yellowcard
  • Artem Dzyuba 84' goal
  • goal Georgiy Melkadze 27'
  • yellowcard Kelliano 54'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Konaté 89'
  • yellowcard Rifat Zhemaletdinov 90'

Akron Tolyatti vs Akhmat Grozny - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Akron Tolyatti

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Mar 9, 2026 4.00pm
Spartak Moscow 4 - 3 Akron
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Artem Dzyuba

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Mar 9, 2026 1.30pm
Lokomotiv 2 - 2 Akhmat Grozny
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Georgiy Melkadze

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akron Tolyatti win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Akron Tolyatti win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (9.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result

Akron Tolyatti 41.29% (+0.02)
Draw 28.5%
Akhmat Grozny 30.18% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.27% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.73% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 31.27% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 43.05% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 56.95% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 22.13% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 77.87% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.38% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.62% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Akron Tolyatti 31.81% (-0.09)
Draw 43.63% (+0.04)
Akhmat Grozny 24.56% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Akron Tolyatti 51.91%
No Goal 9.63% (+0.02)
Akhmat Grozny 38.46% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 43.44%
Equal 8 11.79%
Under 8 44.78% (+0.01)
Over 9 32.7%
Equal 9 10.74%
Under 9 56.56%
Over 10.5 23.66%
Under 10.5 76.34%

Akron Tolyatti Goals

Over 1.5 36.7%
Under 1.5 63.3%
Over 2.5 14.33%
Under 2.5 85.67%
Over 3.5 4.42%
Under 3.5 95.58%

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5 63.35% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 36.65% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 28.22% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 71.78% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 9.25% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 90.75% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.52% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.48% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Akron Tolyatti 41.29%
Draw 28.49%
Akhmat Grozny 30.19%
Akron Tolyatti
1-0 @ 11.87% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.45% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.64%
3-0 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 2.11%
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 41.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 9.63% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 28.49%
Akhmat Grozny
0-1 @ 9.74%
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.03%
1-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.42% (-0.02)
Total : 30.19%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Sep 27, 2025 12.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 28
May 11, 2025 12.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Samara Arena
  • Dmitri Pestryakov 17' goal
  • Soltmurad Bakaev 21' yellowcard
  • Ifet Dakovac 45'+4' goal
  • Gilson Tavares 61' yellowcard
  • Konstantin Savichev 79' yellowcard
  • Vladimir Khubulov 85' goal
  • 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Gilson Tavares 90'+6' redcard
  • goal Amine Talal 8'
  • goal Georgi Melkadze 72'
  • yellowcard Ismael Silva 75'
  • yellowcard Evgeny Kharin 84'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 7
Aug 31, 2024 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Akhmat Arena
  • Camilo 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Soltmurad Bakaev 68'
  • yellowcard Joao Escoval 87'