Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 69.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.04% and a win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 11.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.35%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%) , while for a Akron Tolyatti win it was 0-1 (4.44%).