Club Friendlies 3
Feb 23, 2026 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Otkrytiye Arena
  • Anton Zabolotnyi 48' goal
  • Manfred Ugalde 78' goal
  • goal Aybar Zhaksylykov 40'

Spartak Moscow vs Yelimay Semey - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 1.00pm
Spartak Moscow 5 - 2 Rostov

Yelimay Semey

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 1.00pm
Yelimay Semey 3 - 1 Urartu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 67.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.43% and a win for Yelimay Semey had a probability of 12.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%) , while for a Yelimay Semey win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Spartak Moscow 67.64% (+0.19)
Draw 19.43% (-0.04)
Yelimay Semey 12.98% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.17% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.54% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 21.46% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 55.78% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 44.22% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 32.97% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 67.03% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 22.07% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 77.93% (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Spartak Moscow 43.51%
Draw 38.1%
Yelimay Semey 18.39%

Team To Score First

Spartak Moscow 69.45% (+0.05)
No Goal 5.64% (-0.05)
Yelimay Semey 24.91%

Corners

Over 8 49.88%
Equal 8 11.78%
Under 8 38.35%
Over 9 38.59%
Equal 9 11.28%
Under 9 50.12%
Over 10.5 28.63%
Under 10.5 71.37%

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 61.07% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 38.93% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 34.77% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 65.23% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 17.06% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 82.94% (-0.21)

Yelimay Semey Goals

Over 0.5 45.9% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 54.1% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 16.15% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 83.85% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 3.75% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 96.25% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.84%
Under 3.5 99.16%

Score analysis

Spartak Moscow 67.63%
Draw 19.44%
Yelimay Semey 12.98%
Spartak Moscow
1-0 @ 11.81% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 11.42% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.14% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.23% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.15% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.83% (+0.02)
Other @ 17.05% (+0.20)
Total : 67.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.4% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.64% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 19.44%
Yelimay Semey
0-1 @ 4.06% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 3.74% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.94%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 12.98%