Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 51.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.04% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 22.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%) , while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.