Russian Premier League
Mar 21, 2026 10.45am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Akhmat Arena
  • Egas Cacintura 33' goal
  • Daniil Khlusevich 52' yellowcard
  • Brian Mansilla 64' yellowcard
  • Mohammadmehdi Zare 66' yellowcard
  • P. Gadio 90' yellowcard
  • Galymzhan Kenzhebek 90' yellowcard
  • Turpal-Ali Ibishev 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrey Langovich 46'
  • yellowcard Anton Shamonin 64'
  • yellowcard Mohammad Mohebi 76'
  • yellowcard Khoren Bayramyan 87'
  • yellowcard Khoren Bayramyan 88'

Akhmat Grozny vs Rostov - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 11.00am
Akron 1 - 1 Akhmat Grozny
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Georgiy Melkadze

Rostov

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.15pm
Rostov 0 - 1 Dynamo Moscow
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Ilya Vakhaniya

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 51.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.04% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 22.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%) , while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result

Akhmat Grozny 51.19%
Draw 26.04%
Rostov 22.73%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.26% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.76% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 29.24% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 45.38% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 54.58% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 24.05%
Under 3.5 75.95%
Over 4.5 13.15% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.85% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Akhmat Grozny 37.19%
Draw 42.73%
Rostov 20.08%

Team To Score First

Akhmat Grozny 57.05% (+0.01)
No Goal 8.53% (-0.01)
Rostov 34.42%

Corners

Over 8 32.32%
Equal 8 10.84%
Under 8 56.84%
Over 9 23.34%
Equal 9 8.98%
Under 9 67.68%
Over 10.5 16.43%
Under 10.5 83.57%

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 1.5 44.84% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 55.16% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 19.84% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.16% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 7.06% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.94% (-0.02)

Rostov Goals

Over 0.5 56.81% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 43.19% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 22.72% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 77.28% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 6.75% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 93.25% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.66%
Under 3.5 98.34%

Score analysis

Akhmat Grozny 51.2%
Draw 26.04%
Rostov 22.73%
Akhmat Grozny
1-0 @ 13.04% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.62%
2-1 @ 9.52% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.98% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.7%
3-2 @ 2.35%
Other @ 6.99% (+0.01)
Total : 51.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 8.53% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 26.04%
Rostov
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.53%
1-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.4%
0-3 @ 1.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 22.73%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Aug 30, 2025 6.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 24
Apr 12, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Akhmat Arena
  • Vladislav Kamilov 23' yellowcard
  • Nader Ghandri 51' goal
  • Maksim Samorodov 67' goal
  • yellowcard Ilya Vakhaniya 41'
  • yellowcard Oumar Sako 43'
  • goal Nikolay Komlichenko 75'
  • yellowcard Ivan Komarov 90'+4'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 13
Oct 26, 2024 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Rostov Arena (Rostov-na-Donu)
  • Nikolay Komlichenko 34' goal
  • Danil Glebov 60' yellowcard
  • Mohammad Mohebi 69' goal
  • Ilya Vakhaniya 70' yellowcard
  • Oumar Sako 82' yellowcard
  • goal Daniil Utkin 33'
  • goal Lechii Sadulaev 36'
  • goal Lechii Sadulaev 51'
  • yellowcard Vladislav Kamilov 82'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 18
Dec 9, 2023 1.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Akhmat Arena
  • Gamid Agalarov 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Camilo 65' yellowcard
  • Anton Shvets 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ilya Vakhaniya 61'
  • yellowcard Daniil Utkin 64'
  • yellowcard Danila Prokhin 90'+2'
  • redcard Andrey Langovich 90'+7'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2023 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Rostov Arena
  • Egor Golenkov 34' goal
  • Maksim Osipenko 41' goal
  • Mohammad Mohebi 53' goal
  • Roman Tugarev 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Darko Todorovic 16'
  • yellowcard Anton Shvets 36'
  • yellowcard Evgeny Kharin 39'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 29
May 28, 2023 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Rostov Arena
  • Egor Golenkov 6' goal
  • Egor Golenkov 11' goal
  • Danila Prokhin 73' goal
  • goal Gamid Agalarov 32'
  • goal Vladislav Karapuzov 40'