Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 48.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.28% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%) , while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 1-0 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.