Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 (9.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.