Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 78.54%. A draw had a probability of 15.42% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 6.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.82%) and 3-0 (12.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.98%) , while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 0-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.