Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.53% and a win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 17.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%) , while for a Akron Tolyatti win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.