Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Akron Tolyatti win was 1-0 (8.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.