Russian Premier League Gameweek 23
Apr 4, 2026 3.30pm
VTB Arena (Moskva)

Dynamo Moscow vs Orenburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dynamo Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 1.00pm
Dynamo Moscow 1 - 3 Zenit
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Ivan Sergeev

Orenburg

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 10.45am
Orenburg 0 - 2 Spartak Moscow
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
M. Savelyev

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw has a probability of 21.95% and a win for Orenburg has a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.97%) , while for a Orenburg win it is 0-1 (5.19%).

Result

Dynamo Moscow 59.85% (-0.08)
Draw 21.95% (+0.03)
Orenburg 18.2% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.82% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.95% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 22.05% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 55.49% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 44.51% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 32.74%
Under 3.5 67.26% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 20.42%
Under 4.5 79.58%

First Half Winner

Dynamo Moscow 45.33% (+0.15)
Draw 35.82% (-0.14)
Orenburg 18.84% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Dynamo Moscow 62.08% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.99% (+0.01)
Orenburg 31.93% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 52.78% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.76%
Under 8 35.46% (+0.04)
Over 9 41.25% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.53%
Under 9 47.22% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 30.86% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 69.14% (+0.05)

Dynamo Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 56.45% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 43.55% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 30.14% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 69.86% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 13.34% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 86.66% (+0.04)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5 53.16% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 46.84% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 21.93% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 78.07% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 6.97% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 93.03% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.84% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.16% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Dynamo Moscow 59.86%
Draw 21.95%
Orenburg 18.2%
Dynamo Moscow
1-0 @ 10.88% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.11% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 10% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.75% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.07%
3-2 @ 2.93% (+0.02)
Other @ 13.12% (-0.04)
Total : 59.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.97% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.72%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.95%
Orenburg
0-1 @ 5.19% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.94%
0-2 @ 2.37% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.53% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.62% (+0.02)
Total : 18.2%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Sep 21, 2025 10.00am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 22
Mar 29, 2025 11.00am
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT VTB Arena (Moskva)
  • Roberto Fernandez 20' yellowcard
  • Jorge Carrascal 38' goal
  • Jorge Carrascal 41' goal
  • Bitello 60' goal
  • Luis Chavez 67' goal
  • Viktor Okishor 90'+1' goal
  • 90'+1' goal
  • goal 5'
  • goal Saeid Saharkhizan Gendishmin 77'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 1, 2024 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Saeid Saharkhizan Gendishmin 20' goal
  • Andrey Malykh 36' yellowcard
  • Ivan Basic 71' yellowcard
  • Matias Perez 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Roberto Fernandez 50'
  • goal Matias Perez 65' (OG)
  • goal El Mehdi Maouhoub 72'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 21
Apr 24, 2024 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Matias Perez 16' yellowcard
  • Mohammad Ghorbani 76' yellowcard
  • Braian Mansilla 77' goal
  • Andrey Malykh 86' yellowcard
  • goal Konstantin Tyukavin 55'
  • goal Moumi Ngamaleu 72'
  • yellowcard Anton Shunin 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Daniil Fomin 90'+4'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2023 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT VTB Arena (Moskva)
  • Luis Chavez 55' yellowcard
  • Konstantin Tyukavin 59' goal
  • Luis Chavez 67' goal
  • yellowcard Renato Gojkovic 73'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 30
Jun 3, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Braian Mansilla 6' goal
  • Dmitriy Vorobyev 40' goal
  • Lucas Vera 75' goal