Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 34.46%. A win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 31.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.92%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Dynamo Makhachkala win was 1-0 (13.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.