Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.23% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%) , while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (6.8%).