Club Friendlies 3
Feb 21, 2026 9.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht
  • Mikhail Ignatov 10' goal
  • Anton Zinkovskiy 39' goal
  • Mikhail Ignatov 83' goal

Sochi vs Aktobe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sochi

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 3.00pm
Sochi 1 - 1 Rodina Moskva

Aktobe

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 16, 2026 4.00pm
Ufa 4 - 1 Aktobe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Aktobe had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Aktobe win was 1-2 (7.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Sochi 44.4% (+3.50)
Draw 25.42% (-0.68)
Aktobe 30.13% (-2.88)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.77% (+1.38)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.73% (+1.80)
Under 1.5 24.27% (-1.81)
Over 2.5 53.28% (+4.29)
Under 2.5 46.72% (-4.29)
Over 3.5 30.26% (+3.07)
Under 3.5 69.74% (-3.07)
Over 4.5 17.41% (+2.77)
Under 4.5 82.59% (-2.77)

First Half Winner

Sochi 29.66% (+29.66)
Draw 41.57% (+41.57)
Aktobe 28.77% (+28.77)

Team To Score First

Sochi 51.63% (+51.63)
No Goal 7.37% (+7.37)
Aktobe 41% (+41.00)

Corners

Over 8 34.9% (+34.90)
Equal 8 10.97% (+10.97)
Under 8 54.13% (+54.13)
Over 9 25.59% (+25.59)
Equal 9 9.31% (+9.31)
Under 9 65.1% (+65.10)
Over 10.5 18.25% (+18.25)
Under 10.5 81.75% (+81.75)

Sochi Goals

Over 1.5 43.79% (+4.23)
Under 1.5 56.21% (-4.23)
Over 2.5 20.27% (+4.01)
Under 2.5 79.73% (-4.01)
Over 3.5 7.32% (+1.95)
Under 3.5 92.68% (-1.94)

Aktobe Goals

Over 0.5 64.89% (-2.30)
Under 0.5 35.11% (+2.30)
Over 1.5 32.67% (-0.55)
Under 1.5 67.33% (+0.55)
Over 2.5 12.48% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 87.52% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 3.95% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 96.05% (-0.32)

Score analysis

Sochi 44.4%
Draw 25.43%
Aktobe 30.13%
Sochi
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.52)
2-1 @ 9% (+0.34)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 4.62% (+0.57)
3-0 @ 4.15% (+0.88)
3-2 @ 3.08% (+0.59)
Other @ 7.07% (+1.83)
Total : 44.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.31% (-1.09)
0-0 @ 7.37% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 5.4% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.1% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.25% (+0.12)
Total : 25.43%
Aktobe
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.15)
0-1 @ 7.29% (-1.55)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-1.22)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.32)
0-3 @ 2.39% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.21%
Other @ 3.7% (+0.20)
Total : 30.13%