Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ufa win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Aktobe had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Ufa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Aktobe win was 0-1 (8.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%).