Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arda win with a probability of 63.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.51% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 11.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arda win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.77%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.09%) , while for a FC Ufa win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.