Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nizhny Novgorod win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Sochi has a probability of 32.83% and a draw has a probability of 27.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nizhny Novgorod win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Sochi win is 0-1 (9.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.43%).