Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 28.26% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%) , while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.