Russian Premier League
Apr 22, 2026 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Alexis Cantero 57' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Jesus 67' yellowcard
  • Renat Golybin 68' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Jesus 79' goal
  • Alexandre Jesus 82' goal
  • Ruslan Kul 88' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Kul 89' yellowcard
  • Philipp Hilmer 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrián Balboa 41'
  • yellowcard Daniil Lesovoy 69'
  • yellowcard Nikita Ermakov 70'
  • yellowcard Juan Castillo 70'
  • yellowcard Vyacheslav Grulev 85'
  • yellowcard Artem Sidorenko 90'+2'

Orenburg vs Nizhny Novgorod - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 10.00am
Orenburg 0 - 1 Lokomotiv
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Du Queiroz

Nizhny Novgorod

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 5.30pm
Nizhny Novgorod 1 - 1 Dynamo Moscow
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Daniil Lesovoy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 0-1 (7.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Orenburg 44.75% (-0.11)
Draw 26.34% (+0.20)
Nizhny Novgorod 28.9% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.57% (-0.30)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.92% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 26.08% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 49.92% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 50.04% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 28.25% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 71.75% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 15.88% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 84.12% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Orenburg 33.11% (-0.46)
Draw 43.88% (+0.59)
Nizhny Novgorod 23% (-0.13)

Team To Score First

Orenburg 52.82% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.63% (+0.12)
Nizhny Novgorod 39.55% (-0.13)

Corners

Over 8 52.33% (+0.25)
Equal 8 12.07% (+0.02)
Under 8 35.6% (-0.29)
Over 9 40.55% (+0.21)
Equal 9 11.78% (+0.05)
Under 9 47.67% (-0.25)
Over 10.5 30.01% (+0.16)
Under 10.5 69.99% (-0.16)

Orenburg Goals

Over 1.5 43.03% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 56.97% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 19.25% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.75% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.15% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.85% (+0.04)

Nizhny Novgorod Goals

Over 0.5 63.46% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 36.54% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 30.25% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 69.75% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 10.92%
Under 2.5 89.08%
Over 3.5 3.21%
Under 3.5 96.79%

Score analysis

Orenburg 44.76%
Draw 26.34%
Nizhny Novgorod 28.91%
Orenburg
1-0 @ 10.55% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.9% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.98% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.88% (-0.08)
Total : 44.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.63% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.27% (+0.05)
Total : 26.34%
Nizhny Novgorod
0-1 @ 7.91% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.79% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.94% (-0.05)
Total : 28.91%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Feb 13, 2026 2.00pm
Stadion Gazovik
Russian Premier League
Sep 13, 2025 12.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 23
Apr 4, 2025 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stadion Nizhny Novgorod
  • Thiago Vecino 45'+7' goal
  • Vyacheslav Grulyov 53' yellowcard
  • goal Artem Kasimov 24'
  • goal Braian Mansilla 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Aleksey Tataev 46'
  • redcard Saeid Saharkhizan Gendishmin 90'+8'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 10
Sep 27, 2024 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Dmitry Rybchinsky 52' yellowcard
  • Ivan Basic 59' goal
  • Danila Prokhin 72' yellowcard
  • Ivan Basic 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Valeriy Tsarukyan 45'
  • yellowcard Kirill Bozhenov 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Ognjen Ozegovic 52'
  • goal Ognjen Ozegovic 55'
  • yellowcard Mateo Stamatov 71'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 24
Apr 14, 2024 10.00am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Vladimir Obukhov 2' goal
  • Matias Perez 14' yellowcard
  • Cesar Florentin 24' yellowcard
  • Arsen Adamov 51' goal
  • Jimmy Marin 87' goal
  • goal Juan Boselli 43'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Maiga 70'
  • yellowcard Artur Nigmatullin 87'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 9
Sep 24, 2023 12.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Municipal 1
  • Jose Correia 45' goal
  • Edgar Sevikyan 53' goal
  • Mateo Stamatov 56' yellowcard
  • Viktor Aleksandrov 70' yellowcard
  • Juan Boselli 75' goal
  • Mamadou Maiga 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Matias Perez 28'
  • yellowcard Yury Kavalyow 73'