Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (7.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.