Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 70.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.26% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 11.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%) , while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (3.97%).