Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.97% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 19.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%) , while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.