Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Sochi win was 1-0 (9.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.