Russian Premier League Gameweek 23
Apr 6, 2026 5.30pm
Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht

Sochi vs Rubin Kazan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sochi

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 5.30pm
Baltika 4 - 0 Sochi
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Martin Kramaric

Rubin Kazan

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 1.30pm
Krylia Sovetov 0 - 0 Rubin Kazan
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Dardan Shabanhaxhaj

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Sochi has a probability of 31.18% and a draw has a probability of 27.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Sochi win is 1-0 (9.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.32%).

Result

Sochi 31.18% (+0.04)
Draw 27.19% (+0.05)
Rubin Kazan 41.67% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.45% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.45% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 28.55% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 46.73% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 53.27% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 25.15% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 74.85% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 13.37% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 86.63% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Sochi 25.92% (+0.02)
Draw 44.6% (+0.04)
Rubin Kazan 29.48% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Sochi 41.61%
No Goal 8.65% (+0.01)
Rubin Kazan 49.74% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 40.59% (-0.33)
Equal 8 12.2% (-0.14)
Under 8 47.21% (+0.46)
Over 9 29.74% (-0.21)
Equal 9 10.84% (-0.14)
Under 9 59.41% (+0.33)
Over 10.5 20.87% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 79.13% (+0.08)

Sochi Goals

Over 1.5 30.63% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 69.37% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 10.8% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.2% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.15% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.85% (+0.01)

Rubin Kazan Goals

Over 0.5 72.08% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 27.92% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 38.88% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 61.12% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 15.87% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 84.13% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 5.25% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.75% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Sochi 31.18%
Draw 27.18%
Rubin Kazan 41.65%
Sochi
1-0 @ 9.05% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.26% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.17% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.76%
3-0 @ 2.06% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 8.65% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15% (-0.02)
Total : 27.18%
Rubin Kazan
0-1 @ 10.86% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 8.77% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.1% (-0.04)
Total : 41.65%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Aug 4, 2025 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 30
May 25, 2024 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kazan' Arena
  • Mirlind Daku 22' goal
  • Dmitry Kabutov 75' yellowcard
  • Ilya Rozhkov 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kirill Zaika 42'
  • yellowcard Vanja Drkusic 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Nikita Burmistrov 72'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Alves 84'
  • goal Saul Guarirapa 87'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2023 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht
  • Kirill Kravtsov 6' yellowcard
  • Kirill Kravtsov 54' redcard
  • Artur Yusupov 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Ruslan Bezrukov 39'
  • goal Mirlind Daku 66'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 27
Apr 30, 2022 12.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Timofey Margasov 26'
  • goal Joaozinho 42'
  • goal Mateo Cassierra 52'
  • yellowcard Artem Makarchuk 77'
  • goal Kirill Zaika 83'
  • goal Ivelin Popov 84'
  • goal Georgi Melkadze 90'+2'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 15
Nov 21, 2021 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kirill Zaika 22' yellowcard
  • Rodrigao 27' goal
  • Igor Yurganov 59' redcard
  • yellowcard Oliver Abildgaard 24'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Zuev 26'
  • goal Oliver Abildgaard 31'
  • redcard Oliver Abildgaard 61'
  • yellowcard German Onugkha 78'
  • goal Anders Dreyer 81'
  • yellowcard Ivan Ignatyev 84'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 24
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Georgy Zotov 38' yellowcard
  • Ilya Samoshnikov 45' yellowcard
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 72' goal
  • Aleksandr Zuev 84' yellowcard
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Noboa 3'
  • yellowcard Ibragim Tsallagov 33'
  • yellowcard Anton Zabolotny 57'
  • yellowcard Ivan Miladinovic 90'+1'