Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 57.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.13% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.5%) and 1-2 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.88%) , while for a Rostov win it was 1-0 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.1% likelihood.