Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 29.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 (10.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.