Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.77% and a win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 12.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.87%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.8%) , while for a Dynamo Makhachkala win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.