Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 52.62%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 19.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.23%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%) , while for a Dynamo Makhachkala win it was 1-0 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood.