Club Friendlies 3
Jul 11, 2026 1.00am
Samara Arena

Akron Tolyatti vs Fakel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Akron Tolyatti

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 2, 2026 1.00am
Rodina Moskva 0 - 5 Akron

Fakel

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 7, 2026 3.30pm
Fakel 3 - 1 Rostov

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fakel win with a probability of 52.19%. A draw has a probability of 27.08% and a win for Akron Tolyatti has a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.99%) , while for a Akron Tolyatti win it is 1-0 (7.95%).

Result

Akron Tolyatti 20.73% (-0.17)
Draw 27.08% (+0.09)
Fakel 52.19% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.65% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.56% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 33.44% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 40.43% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 59.57% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 20.54% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 79.46% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 10.96% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 89.04% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Akron Tolyatti 18.44% (+0.02)
Draw 43.63% (-0.02)
Fakel 37.93% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Akron Tolyatti 30.67% (-0.02)
No Goal 10.59% (+0.08)
Fakel 58.74% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 48.69% (-0.09)
Equal 8 12.33% (-0.01)
Under 8 38.97% (+0.08)
Over 9 36.99% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.7% (-0.02)
Under 9 51.31% (+0.09)
Over 10.5 26.81% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 73.19% (+0.05)

Akron Tolyatti Goals

Over 1.5 19.48% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 80.52% (+0.23)
Over 2.5 5.07% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 94.93% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 1.13% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.87% (+0.04)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5 76.02% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 23.98% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 42.87% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 57.13% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 18.01% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 81.99% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.02% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.98% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Akron Tolyatti 20.73%
Draw 27.08%
Fakel 52.18%
Akron Tolyatti
1-0 @ 7.95% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 4.82% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 3.5% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.45% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.08% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.09% (-0.04)
Total : 20.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 10.59% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 27.08%
Fakel
0-1 @ 14.89% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 10.65% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 4.98% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.98% (-0.03)
Total : 52.18%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 24
Apr 13, 2025 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Samara Arena
  • Roberto Fernandez 29' yellowcard
  • Artem Dzyuba 72' goal
  • yellowcard Dylan Mertens 76'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 2
Jul 27, 2024 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Fakel
  • Sergey Bozhin 6' yellowcard
  • Yevgeni Markov 45'+3' redcard
  • Vyacheslav Yakimov 57' yellowcard
  • Dylan Mertens 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bojan Dimoski 22'
  • yellowcard Sergey Gribov 48'
  • goal Ivan Timoshenko 65'
  • goal Soltmurad Bakaev 77'