Club Friendlies 3
Jul 11, 2026 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Samara Arena

Akron Tolyatti vs Fakel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Akron Tolyatti

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 9.00am
Lokomotiv 3 - 0 Akron

Fakel

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 7, 2026 3.30pm
Fakel 3 - 1 Rostov

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.96% and a win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 20.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%) , while for a Akron Tolyatti win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result

Akron Tolyatti 20.61% (-0.13)
Draw 26.96% (-0.12)
Fakel 52.43% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.58% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.57% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 33.43% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 40.43%
Under 2.5 59.57%
Over 3.5 20.48% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 79.52% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 10.93% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 89.07% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Akron Tolyatti 18.46% (+0.02)
Draw 43.78% (+0.15)
Fakel 37.76% (-0.18)

Team To Score First

Akron Tolyatti 30.59% (-0.09)
No Goal 10.59%
Fakel 58.82% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 48.57% (-0.12)
Equal 8 12.34% (+0.01)
Under 8 39.09% (+0.13)
Over 9 36.88% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.69% (-0.01)
Under 9 51.43% (+0.12)
Over 10.5 26.71% (-0.10)
Under 10.5 73.29% (+0.11)

Akron Tolyatti Goals

Over 1.5 19.29% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 80.71% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 4.97% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 95.03% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 1.09% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.91% (+0.04)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5 76.1% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 23.9% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 42.97% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 57.03% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 18.09% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 81.91% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 6.05% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 93.95% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Akron Tolyatti 20.6%
Draw 26.96%
Fakel 52.43%
Akron Tolyatti
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 4.8% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.47% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.06% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.08% (-0.02)
Total : 20.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 10.59%
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.03)
Total : 26.96%
Fakel
0-1 @ 14.92% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 10.7% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.27% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 5.04% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 4.26% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.2%
Other @ 6.04% (+0.06)
Total : 52.43%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 24
Apr 13, 2025 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Samara Arena
  • Roberto Fernandez 29' yellowcard
  • Artem Dzyuba 72' goal
  • yellowcard Dylan Mertens 76'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 2
Jul 27, 2024 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Fakel
  • Sergey Bozhin 6' yellowcard
  • Yevgeni Markov 45'+3' redcard
  • Vyacheslav Yakimov 57' yellowcard
  • Dylan Mertens 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bojan Dimoski 22'
  • yellowcard Sergey Gribov 48'
  • goal Ivan Timoshenko 65'
  • goal Soltmurad Bakaev 77'