Club Friendlies 3
Fakel
Jul 7, 2026 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
Rostov
  • Belajdi Pusi 17' goal
  • Axel Aymeric Gnapi Dable 51' goal
  • Maksim Turishchev 65' goal
  • goal German Ignatov 11'

Fakel vs Rostov - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fakel

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 19, 2026 2.00pm
Sogdiana 0 - 1 Fakel

Rostov

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 3, 2026 3.30pm
Rostov 0 - 0 Dinamo Stavropol'

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.72% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 22.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%) , while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Fakel 50.12% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 27.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Rostov 22.16% ▼ (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.72% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.41% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 33.59% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 39.62% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 60.38% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 19.85% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 80.15% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 10.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 89.8% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Fakel 33.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 47.72% ▲ (+0.09)
Rostov 19.12% ▼ (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Fakel 56.02% ▲ (+0.05)
No Goal 10.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Rostov 33.6% ▼ (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 40.47% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 47.92% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 30.16% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 10.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 59.53% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 21.68% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 10.5 78.32% ▼ (-0.06)

Fakel Goals

Over 1.5 41.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 58.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 16.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 83.38% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.68% ▼ (-0.01)

Rostov Goals

Over 0.5 55.17% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 0.5 44.83% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 20% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 1.5 80% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 2.5 5.07% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 94.93% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 3.5 1.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.84% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Fakel 50.12%
Draw 27.72%
Rostov 22.16%
Fakel
1-0 @ 14.5% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 10.18% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.27% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.46%
3-1 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 50.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 10.38% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.72%
Rostov
0-1 @ 8.71%
1-2 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 22.16%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 25
Fakel
Apr 20, 2025 12.00pm
0
2
HT : 1 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
Rostov
  • 16' goal
  • Dylan Mertens 43' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Brahimi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Igor Yurganov 61' yellowcard
  • goal Egor Golenkov 30'
  • yellowcard Ivan Komarov 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Egor Golenkov 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Khoren Bayramyan 56'
  • goal Konstantin Kuchayev 77'
  • yellowcard Oumar Sako 86'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 7
Rostov
Sep 1, 2024 6.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Rostov Arena (Rostov-na-Donu)
Fakel
  • Nikolay Komlichenko 23' goal
  • Maksim Osipenko 45' goal
  • Ronaldo Cesar 72' goal
  • Egor Golenkov 84' goal
  • Eyad El Askalany 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vladimir Ilyin 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Rayan Senhadji 57'
  • goal Vladimir Ilyin 68'
  • yellowcard Khyzyr Appaev 82'
  • yellowcard Maks Dziov 88'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 24
Fakel
Apr 14, 2024 2.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
Rostov
  • Ihor Kalinin 6' yellowcard
  • Nichita Motpan 7' yellowcard
  • Sergey Tashuev 7' yellowcard
  • Irakli Kvekveskiri 48' yellowcard
  • Ilnur Alshin 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Khoren Bayramyan 23'
  • yellowcard Oumar Sako 52'
  • goal Ronaldo Cesar 83'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 1
Rostov
Jul 23, 2023 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Rostov Arena
Fakel
  • Maksim Osipenko 39' goal
  • Daniil Utkin 45' yellowcard
  • Roman Tugarev 56' goal
  • Khoren Bayramyan 66' yellowcard
  • goal Yevgeni Markov 17'
  • yellowcard Fyodor Kudryashov 20'
  • yellowcard Yevgeni Markov 42'
  • yellowcard Andrey Mendel 58'
  • yellowcard Sergey Bozhin 58'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 26
Rostov
May 6, 2023 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Rostov Arena
Fakel
  • goal Roman Akbashev 46'
  • goal Khyzyr Appaev 74'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 14
Fakel
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
Rostov
  • Georgy Gongadze 90'+7' goal
  • goal Danil Glebov 50'

Form Data

Sogdiana 0 - 1 Fakel
Baltika 1 - 0 Fakel
Fakel 6 - 1 Zhenys
Fakel 0 - 0 Sochi
Fakel 1 - 1 Sloga Doboj
Fakel 1 - 1 Grafičar
Rostov 0 - 0 Dinamo Stavropol'
Rostov 0 - 1 Zenit
Akron 1 - 3 Rostov
Makhachkala 1 - 2 Rostov
Rostov 0 - 1 Orenburg
CSKA 1 - 1 Rostov