Club Friendlies 3
Jul 7, 2026 1.00am
Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov

Fakel vs Rostov - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fakel

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 19, 2026 2.00pm
Sogdiana 0 - 1 Fakel

Rostov

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 3, 2026 1.00am
Rostov 0 - 0 Dinamo Stavropol'

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fakel win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw has a probability of 27.72% and a win for Rostov has a probability of 22.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.99%) , while for a Rostov win it is 0-1 (8.71%).

Result

Fakel 50.12% (+0.15)
Draw 27.72% (-0.02)
Rostov 22.16% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.72% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.41% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 33.59% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 39.62% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 60.38% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 19.85% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 80.15% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 10.2% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 89.8% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Fakel 33.16% (+0.02)
Draw 47.72% (+0.09)
Rostov 19.12% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Fakel 56.02% (+0.05)
No Goal 10.38% (+0.02)
Rostov 33.6% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 40.47% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.61% (+0.01)
Under 8 47.92% (-0.08)
Over 9 30.16% (+0.08)
Equal 9 10.32% (+0.01)
Under 9 59.53% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 21.68% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 78.32% (-0.06)

Fakel Goals

Over 1.5 41.06% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 58.94% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 16.62% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 83.38% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.32% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.68% (-0.01)

Rostov Goals

Over 0.5 55.17% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 44.83% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 20% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 80% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 5.07% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 94.93% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 1.16% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.84% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Fakel 50.12%
Draw 27.72%
Rostov 22.16%
Fakel
1-0 @ 14.5% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 10.18% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.27% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.46%
3-1 @ 4.2% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.31% (+0.01)
Total : 50.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 10.38% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.72%
Rostov
0-1 @ 8.71%
1-2 @ 5.21% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.62% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.15% (-0.04)
Total : 22.16%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 25
Apr 20, 2025 12.00pm
0
2
HT : 1 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • 16' goal
  • Dylan Mertens 43' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Brahimi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Igor Yurganov 61' yellowcard
  • goal Egor Golenkov 30'
  • yellowcard Ivan Komarov 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Egor Golenkov 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Khoren Bayramyan 56'
  • goal Konstantin Kuchayev 77'
  • yellowcard Oumar Sako 86'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 1, 2024 6.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Rostov Arena (Rostov-na-Donu)
  • Nikolay Komlichenko 23' goal
  • Maksim Osipenko 45' goal
  • Ronaldo Cesar 72' goal
  • Egor Golenkov 84' goal
  • Eyad El Askalany 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vladimir Ilyin 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Rayan Senhadji 57'
  • goal Vladimir Ilyin 68'
  • yellowcard Khyzyr Appaev 82'
  • yellowcard Maks Dziov 88'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 24
Apr 14, 2024 2.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Ihor Kalinin 6' yellowcard
  • Nichita Motpan 7' yellowcard
  • Sergey Tashuev 7' yellowcard
  • Irakli Kvekveskiri 48' yellowcard
  • Ilnur Alshin 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Khoren Bayramyan 23'
  • yellowcard Oumar Sako 52'
  • goal Ronaldo Cesar 83'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 1
Jul 23, 2023 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Rostov Arena
  • Maksim Osipenko 39' goal
  • Daniil Utkin 45' yellowcard
  • Roman Tugarev 56' goal
  • Khoren Bayramyan 66' yellowcard
  • goal Yevgeni Markov 17'
  • yellowcard Fyodor Kudryashov 20'
  • yellowcard Yevgeni Markov 42'
  • yellowcard Andrey Mendel 58'
  • yellowcard Sergey Bozhin 58'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 26
May 6, 2023 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Rostov Arena
  • goal Roman Akbashev 46'
  • goal Khyzyr Appaev 74'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 14
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Georgy Gongadze 90'+7' goal
  • goal Danil Glebov 50'