Club Friendlies 3
Feb 19, 2026 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Gaponov 90'

Sogdiana vs Fakel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sogdiana

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 16, 2026 2.30pm
Sogdiana 2 - 0 Dinamo Batumi

Fakel

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 2.00pm
Baltika 1 - 0 Fakel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sogdiana win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sogdiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Fakel win was 0-1 (10.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Sogdiana 39.23% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 28.21%
Fakel 32.56% ▲ (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.57% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 29.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 45.97% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 54.03% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 24.36% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 75.65% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 13.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.51% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Sogdiana 36.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 43.71%
Fakel 19.64% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Sogdiana 55.44%
No Goal 9.15%
Fakel 35.41%

Corners

Over 8 57.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.57%
Under 8 31.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 45.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.74%
Under 9 42.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 34.58%
Under 10.5 65.42%

Sogdiana Goals

Over 1.5 37.08% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 62.92% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 14.85% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 85.15% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 5% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95% ▲ (+0.05)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5 66.06% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 33.94% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 1.5 31.08% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 68.92% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 11.49% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 88.51% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 3.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.47% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Sogdiana 39.22%
Draw 28.22%
Fakel 32.56%
Sogdiana
1-0 @ 10.39% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.81% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 39.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.73% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.15%
2-2 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 28.22%
Fakel
0-1 @ 10.06% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 32.56%