Club Friendlies 3
Feb 19, 2026 12.00am

Sogdiana vs Fakel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sogdiana

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 16, 2026 2.30pm
Sogdiana 2 - 0 Dinamo Batumi

Fakel

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 12, 2026 2.00pm
Baltika 1 - 0 Fakel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sogdiana win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Fakel has a probability of 32.35% and a draw has a probability of 28.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sogdiana win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Fakel win is 0-1 (10.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.71%).

Result

Sogdiana 39.39%
Draw 28.21%
Fakel 32.35% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.56%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.39% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 29.61% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 46.02%
Under 2.5 53.98%
Over 3.5 24.39%
Under 3.5 75.61%
Over 4.5 13.5%
Under 4.5 86.5%

First Half Winner

Sogdiana 36.66%
Draw 43.71%
Fakel 19.62%

Team To Score First

Sogdiana 55.44%
No Goal 9.15%
Fakel 35.41%

Corners

Over 8 57.26%
Equal 8 11.57%
Under 8 31.18%
Over 9 45.51%
Equal 9 11.74%
Under 9 42.74%
Over 10.5 34.58%
Under 10.5 65.42%

Sogdiana Goals

Over 1.5 37.25%
Under 1.5 62.75%
Over 2.5 15% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.05% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.95% (-0.01)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5 65.93% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 34.07% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 30.93% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 69.07% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 11.4% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.6% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.5%
Under 3.5 96.5%

Score analysis

Sogdiana 39.39%
Draw 28.21%
Fakel 32.35%
Sogdiana
1-0 @ 10.38%
2-1 @ 8.84%
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.42%
3-0 @ 3.12% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.26%
Other @ 4.7% (+0.01)
Total : 39.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.15%
2-2 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 28.21%
Fakel
0-1 @ 10.03% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 32.35%