Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sogdiana win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Dinamo Batumi had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sogdiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Dinamo Batumi win was 1-2 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.