Russian Premier League
Aug 2, 2026 2.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Aleksey Tataev  21' yellowcard
  • Andrey Kasadzhikov 25' yellowcard
  • Jhon Alex Palacios 76' yellowcard
  • goal Maksim Glushenkov 6'
  • yellowcard Román Vega 23'
  • goal Maksim Glushenkov 58'
  • goal Maksim Glushenkov 66'

Orenburg vs Zenit St Petersburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 5.30pm
Orenburg 2 - 1 Rostov

Zenit St Petersburg

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 2.15pm
Akron 0 - 5 Zenit

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 55.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.66% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 19.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%) , while for a Orenburg win it was 1-0 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Orenburg 19.42% (+0.09)
Draw 24.66%
Zenit St Petersburg 55.92% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.77% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.95% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 28.05% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 46.56% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 53.44% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 25.65% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 74.32% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 14.83% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 85.17% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Orenburg 14.91% (-0.10)
Draw 44.21%
Zenit St Petersburg 40.88% (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Orenburg 25.76%
No Goal 8.31% (-0.02)
Zenit St Petersburg 65.93% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 53.8% (+0.30)
Equal 8 11.8% (-0.02)
Under 8 34.4% (-0.29)
Over 9 42.16% (+0.30)
Equal 9 11.65% (+0.01)
Under 9 46.2% (-0.30)
Over 10.5 31.59% (+0.27)
Under 10.5 68.41% (-0.28)

Orenburg Goals

Over 1.5 20.34% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 79.66% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 5.39% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 94.61% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.29% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.71% (-0.02)

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5 79.99% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 20.01% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 48.84% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 51.16% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 23.2%
Under 2.5 76.8%
Over 3.5 8.95%
Under 3.5 91.05%

Score analysis

Orenburg 19.43%
Draw 24.67%
Zenit St Petersburg 55.91%
Orenburg
1-0 @ 6.65% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 4.96% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.01% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.51% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.25% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.28% (+0.02)
Total : 19.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.58% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.31% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.67%
Zenit St Petersburg
0-1 @ 13.1%
0-2 @ 10.79% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 9.4%
0-3 @ 5.78%
1-3 @ 5.12%
2-3 @ 2.78% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.94%
Total : 55.91%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 20
Mar 8, 2026 9.00am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Pedro 62' goal
  • G. Guzina 71' yellowcard
  • E. Bolotov 76' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Kul 76' yellowcard
  • E. Bolotov 86' goal
  • A. Tataev 88' yellowcard
  • Philipp Hilmer 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gustavo Mantuan 9'
  • goal Aleksandr Sobolev 11'
  • yellowcard Wilmar Barrios 62'
  • yellowcard Wilmar Barrios 66'
  • yellowcard Daniil Kondakov 78'
  • yellowcard Andrey Mostovoy 78'
  • yellowcard Jhon Durán 84'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Erokhin 84'
  • yellowcard 84'
  • yellowcard Andrey Mostovoy 90'+6'
Russian Premier League
Sep 27, 2025 5.30pm
5
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 9.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Aleksandr Kovalenko 31' yellowcard
  • Aleksandr Kovalenko 38' redcard
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Sobolev 19'
  • goal Aleksandr Erokhin 90'+6'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2024 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Pennaguer Bihan 1
  • Gustavo Mantuan 61' goal
  • Wendel 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrey Malykh 59'
  • yellowcard Maksim Sidorov 72'
  • yellowcard Stepan Oganesyan 74'
  • yellowcard Mohammad Ghorbani 90'+5'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 25
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Saint Petersburg Stadium
  • Claudinho 23' goal
  • Nino 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Perez 44'
  • yellowcard David Deogracia 45'
  • yellowcard Leo Goglichidze 55'
  • yellowcard Maksim Sidorov 66'
  • yellowcard Danila Prokhin 70'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 10.00am
3
1
HT : 3 2
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Dmitriy Vorobyev 7' goal
  • Renato Gojkovic 14' yellowcard
  • Matias Perez 25' goal
  • Braian Mansilla 36' goal
  • Maksim Sidorov 49' yellowcard
  • Braian Mansilla 72' yellowcard
  • Justin Cuero 81' yellowcard
  • Ivan Basic 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Gustavo Mantuan 2'
  • goal Gustavo Mantuan 3'
  • yellowcard Rodrigao 90'+1'