Russian Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 2, 2026 2.00pm
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg vs Zenit St Petersburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 5.30pm
Orenburg 2 - 1 Rostov

Zenit St Petersburg

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 2.15pm
Akron 0 - 5 Zenit

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw has a probability of 24.69% and a win for Orenburg has a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.59%) , while for a Orenburg win it is 1-0 (6.67%).

Result

Orenburg 19.41% (+0.04)
Draw 24.69% (+0.05)
Zenit St Petersburg 55.87% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.77% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.86% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 28.14% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 46.49% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 53.51% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 25.57% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 74.43% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 14.79% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.21% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Orenburg 14.95% (-0.03)
Draw 44.12% (-0.02)
Zenit St Petersburg 40.93% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Orenburg 25.91% (-0.02)
No Goal 8.33%
Zenit St Petersburg 65.76% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 53.73% (+0.22)
Equal 8 11.83%
Under 8 34.44% (-0.22)
Over 9 42.05% (+0.20)
Equal 9 11.68% (+0.02)
Under 9 46.27% (-0.22)
Over 10.5 31.46% (+0.17)
Under 10.5 68.54% (-0.16)

Orenburg Goals

Over 1.5 20.27% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 79.73% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 5.36% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 94.64% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.28% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.72% (-0.02)

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5 79.94% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 20.06% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 48.78% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 51.22% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 23.18% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 76.82% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.94% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 91.06% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Orenburg 19.4%
Draw 24.7%
Zenit St Petersburg 55.88%
Orenburg
1-0 @ 6.67% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 4.96% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.49%
3-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.27% (+0.02)
Total : 19.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.59% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.33%
2-2 @ 4.19% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.7%
Zenit St Petersburg
0-1 @ 13.12% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 10.77% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.79% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.11% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.76%
Other @ 8.93% (-0.02)
Total : 55.88%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 20
Mar 8, 2026 9.00am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Pedro 62' goal
  • G. Guzina 71' yellowcard
  • E. Bolotov 76' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Kul 76' yellowcard
  • E. Bolotov 86' goal
  • A. Tataev 88' yellowcard
  • Philipp Hilmer 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gustavo Mantuan 9'
  • goal Aleksandr Sobolev 11'
  • yellowcard Wilmar Barrios 62'
  • yellowcard Wilmar Barrios 66'
  • yellowcard Daniil Kondakov 78'
  • yellowcard Andrey Mostovoy 78'
  • yellowcard Jhon Durán 84'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Erokhin 84'
  • yellowcard 84'
  • yellowcard Andrey Mostovoy 90'+6'
Russian Premier League
Sep 27, 2025 5.30pm
5
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 9.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Aleksandr Kovalenko 31' yellowcard
  • Aleksandr Kovalenko 38' redcard
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Sobolev 19'
  • goal Aleksandr Erokhin 90'+6'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2024 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Pennaguer Bihan 1
  • Gustavo Mantuan 61' goal
  • Wendel 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrey Malykh 59'
  • yellowcard Maksim Sidorov 72'
  • yellowcard Stepan Oganesyan 74'
  • yellowcard Mohammad Ghorbani 90'+5'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 25
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Saint Petersburg Stadium
  • Claudinho 23' goal
  • Nino 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Perez 44'
  • yellowcard David Deogracia 45'
  • yellowcard Leo Goglichidze 55'
  • yellowcard Maksim Sidorov 66'
  • yellowcard Danila Prokhin 70'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 10.00am
3
1
HT : 3 2
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Dmitriy Vorobyev 7' goal
  • Renato Gojkovic 14' yellowcard
  • Matias Perez 25' goal
  • Braian Mansilla 36' goal
  • Maksim Sidorov 49' yellowcard
  • Braian Mansilla 72' yellowcard
  • Justin Cuero 81' yellowcard
  • Ivan Basic 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Gustavo Mantuan 2'
  • goal Gustavo Mantuan 3'
  • yellowcard Rodrigao 90'+1'