Russian Premier League
May 17, 2026 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion FK Krasnodar
  • Kevin Lenini 36' goal
  • Jhon Córdoba 63' goal
  • Aleksandr Chernikov 64' yellowcard
  • Juan Manuel Boselli 77' yellowcard
  • Moses David Cobnan 84' yellowcard
  • Jubal 84' yellowcard
  • Valentin Paltsev 84' yellowcard
  • Eduard Spertsyan 88' goal
  • yellowcard Pavel Gorelov 56'
  • yellowcard Pavel Gorelov 57'
  • yellowcard Damián Puebla 58'
  • yellowcard Ruslan Kul 69'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Jesus 69'
  • yellowcard Philipp Hilmer 84'

FC Krasnodar vs Orenburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Krasnodar

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
May 11, 2026 6.00pm
Dynamo Moscow 2 - 1 Krasnodar
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Jhon Cordoba

Orenburg

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
May 10, 2026 10.30am
Orenburg 1 - 0 Krylia Sovetov
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Alexandre Jesus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 72.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.29% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 9.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.47%) and 3-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%) , while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

FC Krasnodar 72.32% (+0.88)
Draw 18.29% (-0.47)
Orenburg 9.38% (-0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.73% (+0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.73% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 24.27% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 52.91% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 47.09% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 31.46% (+0.61)
Under 3.5 68.54% (-0.60)
Over 4.5 22.1% (+0.75)
Under 4.5 77.9% (-0.75)

First Half Winner

FC Krasnodar 50.91% (+0.24)
Draw 36.22% (-0.29)
Orenburg 12.87% (+0.05)

Team To Score First

FC Krasnodar 70.05% (-0.57)
No Goal 7.02% (-0.18)
Orenburg 22.93% (+0.74)

Corners

Over 8 55.25% (-2.66)
Equal 8 11.25% (-0.39)
Under 8 33.5% (+3.04)
Over 9 44.01% (-2.04)
Equal 9 11.24% (-0.62)
Under 9 44.75% (+2.66)
Over 10.5 33.66% (-1.32)
Under 10.5 66.34% (+1.32)

FC Krasnodar Goals

Over 1.5 62.87% (+0.80)
Under 1.5 37.13% (-0.80)
Over 2.5 36.89% (+0.75)
Under 2.5 63.11% (-0.75)
Over 3.5 18.23% (+0.77)
Under 3.5 81.77% (-0.77)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5 37.66% (-0.85)
Under 0.5 62.34% (+0.85)
Over 1.5 11.25% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 88.75% (+0.54)
Over 2.5 2.57% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 97.43% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 0.53% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 99.47% (+0.04)

Score analysis

FC Krasnodar 72.32%
Draw 18.29%
Orenburg 9.38%
FC Krasnodar
2-0 @ 13.84% (+0.34)
1-0 @ 13.47% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 9.86% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 5.99% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.24% (+0.09)
Other @ 18.14% (+0.79)
Total : 72.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.87% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 2.74% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.03)
Total : 18.29%
Orenburg
0-1 @ 3.77% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 2.59% (-0.21)
0-2 @ 1.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 9.38%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Aug 10, 2025 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 29
May 17, 2025 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Braian Mansilla 7' goal
  • Aleksey Tataev 9' yellowcard
  • Georgy Zotov 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Danila Khotulev 57' yellowcard
  • Danila Prokhin 80' yellowcard
  • Nikolay Sysuev 85' yellowcard
  • goal Jhon Cordoba 29'
  • goal Lucas Olaza 51'
  • yellowcard Jhon Cordoba 85'
  • yellowcard Moses Cobnan 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Danila Kozlov 90'+6'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 14
Nov 3, 2024 4.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion FK Krasnodar
  • Diego 10' yellowcard
  • Kevin Pina 38' goal
  • Aleksandr Chernikov 50' yellowcard
  • Danila Kozlov 73' goal
  • Eduard Spertsyan 79' goal
  • Jhon Cordoba 88' goal
Russian Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 3, 2023 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion FK Krasnodar
  • Olakunle Olusegun 24' yellowcard
  • Eduard Spertsyan 45'+3' goal
  • Ilzat Akhmetov 76' goal
  • Junior Alonso 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Deogracia 25'
  • yellowcard Aleksey Kenyaykin 45'+1'
  • goal Stepan Oganesyan 51'
  • yellowcard Matias Perez 56'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 12, 2023 3.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • yellowcard Kaio Pantaleao 32'
  • goal Eduard Spertsyan 67'
  • yellowcard Ilzat Akhmetov 80'
  • goal Eduard Spertsyan 89'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 17
Nov 13, 2022 11.00am
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Vladimir Sychevoy 2' goal
  • Lucas Vera 23' goal
  • Vladimir Sychevoy 29' goal
  • Jimmy Marin 51' goal
  • Vladimir Sychevoy 59' goal
  • goal Aleksey Ionov 43'