Russian Premier League
May 3, 2026 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht
  • Kirill Kravtsov 7' goal
  • Anton Zinkovskiy 32' yellowcard
  • Kirill Kravtsov 33' goal
  • Kirill Kravtsov 67' goal
  • Dmitriy Vasiljev 70' yellowcard
  • Dmitriy Vasiljev 78' yellowcard
  • Pavel Meleshin 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Artem Korneev 90'+2' yellowcard
  • A. Kovalenko 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Damián Puebla 46'
  • yellowcard Renat Golybin 46'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Jesus 64'
  • goal Alexandre Jesus 69'
  • yellowcard Philipp Hilmer 72'
  • yellowcard Anas El Mahraoui 82'

Sochi vs Orenburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sochi

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 3.00pm
Dynamo Moscow 2 - 0 Sochi
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Kirill Kravtsov

Orenburg

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
Rostov 0 - 1 Orenburg
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Alexandre Jesus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (9.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result

Sochi 37.71% (+0.36)
Draw 27.07% (+0.20)
Orenburg 35.22% (-0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.9% (-0.67)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.32% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 27.68% (+0.65)
Over 2.5 47.72% (-0.83)
Under 2.5 52.28% (+0.83)
Over 3.5 25.89% (-0.70)
Under 3.5 74.11% (+0.71)
Over 4.5 13.74% (-0.49)
Under 4.5 86.26% (+0.49)

First Half Winner

Sochi 28.46%
Draw 44.9%
Orenburg 26.65%

Team To Score First

Sochi 47.81% (-0.13)
No Goal 8.21% (+0.27)
Orenburg 43.98% (-0.14)

Corners

Over 8 52.52%
Equal 8 12.08%
Under 8 35.4%
Over 9 40.7%
Equal 9 11.82%
Under 9 47.48%
Over 10.5 30.1%
Under 10.5 69.9%

Sochi Goals

Over 1.5 36.24% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 63.76% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 14.29% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 85.71% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 4.38% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 95.62% (+0.07)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5 68.26% (-0.68)
Under 0.5 31.74% (+0.68)
Over 1.5 34.53% (-0.90)
Under 1.5 65.47% (+0.90)
Over 2.5 13.26% (-0.59)
Under 2.5 86.74% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 4.12% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 95.88% (+0.25)

Score analysis

Sochi 37.73%
Draw 27.06%
Orenburg 35.21%
Sochi
1-0 @ 10.1% (+0.28)
2-1 @ 8.3% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.34% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 3.65% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.95% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.07)
Other @ 4.14% (-0.06)
Total : 37.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.41% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 8.21% (+0.27)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.24% (-0.02)
Total : 27.06%
Orenburg
0-1 @ 9.37% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 5.85% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.88% (-0.25)
Total : 35.21%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Nov 2, 2025 9.00am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 18
Dec 10, 2023 1.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht
  • Ivan Ignatyev 42' goal
  • yellowcard Stepan Oganesyan 21'
  • yellowcard David Deogracia 22'
  • yellowcard Braian Mansilla 78'
  • yellowcard Yaroslav Mikhailov 83'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vera 89'
  • goal Danila Khotulev 90'+4'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2023 11.00am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Braian Mansilla 55' goal
  • Vladimir Obukhov 58' goal
  • Kirill Kaplenko 81' yellowcard
  • Justin Cuero 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Ivan Miladinovic 33'
  • yellowcard Georgi Melkadze 35'
  • yellowcard Artur Yusupov 41'
  • yellowcard Luka Dordevic 47'
  • yellowcard Amir Batyrev 78'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 19
Mar 10, 2023 4.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht
  • goal Kirill Kaplenko 45'
  • goal Christian Noboa 50' (OG)
  • goal Ivan Basic 67'
  • goal Yury Kavalyow 74'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 1, 2022 12.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Timur Ayupov 3' goal
  • Cesar Florentin 21' goal
  • Vladimir Sychevoy 44' goal
  • Jimmy Marin 53' goal
  • goal Timofey Shipunov 69'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 18
Mar 11, 2020 4.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Fisht Olympic Stadium
  • Timur Ayupov 24' goal
  • Aleksandr Kokorin 35' goal
  • Aleksandr Kokorin 62' goal
  • Andrey Mostovoy 73' goal
  • Christian Noboa 78' goal
  • goal Joel Fameyeh 85'
  • yellowcard Joel Fameyeh 87'