Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sochi win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Orenburg has a probability of 35.63% and a draw has a probability of 26.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Orenburg win is 0-1 (9.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.34%).