Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.22% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 19.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%) , while for a Sochi win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.