Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 50.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.75% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%) , while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.