Russian Premier League Gameweek 29
May 10, 2026 10.30am
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg vs Krylia Sovetov - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
May 3, 2026 12.30pm
Sochi 3 - 1 Orenburg
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Alexandre Jesus

Krylia Sovetov

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
May 1, 2026 3.00pm
Krylia Sovetov 2 - 1 Spartak Moscow
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
I. Oleynikov

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Orenburg win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw has a probability of 24.98% and a win for Krylia Sovetov has a probability of 24.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.62%) , while for a Krylia Sovetov win it is 0-1 (6.89%).

Result

Orenburg 50.63% (+0.09)
Draw 24.98% (-0.02)
Krylia Sovetov 24.39% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.58% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.39% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 24.61% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 51.46% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 48.54% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 29.44% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 70.56% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 16.93% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.07% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Orenburg 33.84% (-0.02)
Draw 44.38% (-0.04)
Krylia Sovetov 21.79% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Orenburg 55.44% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.85% (+0.01)
Krylia Sovetov 37.71% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 55.93% (-0.11)
Equal 8 12.11%
Under 8 31.96% (+0.11)
Over 9 43.75% (-0.10)
Equal 9 12.18% (-0.01)
Under 9 44.07% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 32.57% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 67.43% (+0.08)

Orenburg Goals

Over 1.5 48.07% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 51.93% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 22.76% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 77.24% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 8.96% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 91.04% (+0.03)

Krylia Sovetov Goals

Over 0.5 60.01% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 39.99% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 26.86% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 73.14% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 8.96% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 91.04% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 2.39% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.61% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Orenburg 50.62%
Draw 24.99%
Krylia Sovetov 24.39%
Orenburg
1-0 @ 10.87% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.67% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.77% (-0.01)
Total : 50.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.85% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19% (-0.02)
Total : 24.99%
Krylia Sovetov
0-1 @ 6.89%
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.2% (-0.01)
Total : 24.39%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Oct 18, 2025 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 26
Apr 27, 2025 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Samara Arena
  • Ivan Sergeev 83' goal
  • Dmitriy Tsypchenko 87' goal
  • yellowcard Saeid Saharkhizan Gendishmin 73'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 12
Oct 20, 2024 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Matias Perez 56' yellowcard
  • Jimmy Marin 72' goal
  • Jimmy Marin 90'+3' goal
  • Justin Cuero 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Ivan Sergeev 11'
  • goal Kirill Pechenin 31'
  • yellowcard Roman Ezhov 34'
  • redcard Fernando Costanza 68'
  • yellowcard Nikolai Rasskazov 72'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 27
May 4, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Mohammad Ghorbani 11' yellowcard
  • Matias Perez 24' goal
  • Dmitriy Vorobyev 67' goal
  • goal Amar Rahmanovic 53'
  • yellowcard Franco Orozco 56'
  • yellowcard Nikolai Rasskazov 89'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Samara Arena
  • Benjamin Garre 24' goal
  • yellowcard Jimmy Marin 60'
  • goal Matias Perez 66'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vera 76'
  • yellowcard Vladimir Obukhov 83'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 21
Apr 2, 2023 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Samara Arena
  • Dmitriy Tsypchenko 7' goal
  • goal Dmitriy Vorobyev 30'