Russian Premier League Gameweek 1
Jul 26, 2026 12.30pm
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg vs Rostov - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
May 17, 2026 4.00pm
Krasnodar 3 - 0 Orenburg

Rostov

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
May 17, 2026 4.00pm
Rostov 0 - 1 Zenit

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Orenburg win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Rostov has a probability of 31.3% and a draw has a probability of 27.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Rostov win is 0-1 (8.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.44%).

Result

Orenburg 41.68% (-0.14)
Draw 27.02% (-0.02)
Rostov 31.3% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.87% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.07% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 27.93% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 47.18% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 52.82% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 26.44% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 73.56% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 14.52% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 85.48% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Orenburg 30.76% (+0.11)
Draw 46.08% (-0.20)
Rostov 23.16% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Orenburg 50.88% (+0.10)
No Goal 8.67% (-0.11)
Rostov 40.45% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 51.42% (-0.08)
Equal 8 12.74% (+0.02)
Under 8 35.84% (+0.07)
Over 9 39.06% (-0.08)
Equal 9 12.36% (+0.01)
Under 9 48.58% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 28.13% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 71.87% (+0.08)

Orenburg Goals

Over 1.5 39.03% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 60.97% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 16.02% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 83.98% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.18% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.82% (-0.04)

Rostov Goals

Over 0.5 64.71% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 35.29% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 31.15% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 68.85% (-0.28)
Over 2.5 11.67% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 88.33% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 3.83% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 96.17% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Orenburg 41.67%
Draw 27.02%
Rostov 31.28%
Orenburg
1-0 @ 10.57% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 8.48% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.53% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 2.62% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.15% (+0.02)
Total : 41.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.98% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.02)
Total : 27.02%
Rostov
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.95% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.93% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.95% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.02% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.97% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.8% (+0.03)
Total : 31.28%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 27
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Central’nyj im. I.P. Chayka
  • David Semenchuk 46' yellowcard
  • Daniil Shantaliy 67' yellowcard
  • Khoren Bayramyan 73' yellowcard
  • Mohammad Mohebi 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Renat Golybin 72'
  • yellowcard G. Guzina 72'
  • yellowcard Damián Puebla 73'
  • goal G. Guzina 85'
  • yellowcard Danila Vedernikov 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Philipp Hilmer 90'+6'
Russian Premier League
Oct 5, 2025 10.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 20
Mar 8, 2025 9.00am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Jimmy Marin 15' yellowcard
  • Andrey Malykh 21' yellowcard
  • Braian Mansilla 28' goal
  • Saeid Saharkhizan Gendishmin 66' yellowcard
  • Maksim Savelyev 87' yellowcard
  • Danila Khotulev 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Maksim Osipenko 22'
  • goal Nikolay Komlichenko 70'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 5
Aug 17, 2024 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Rostov Arena (Rostov-na-Donu)
  • Nikolay Komlichenko 51' goal
  • Nikolay Komlichenko 52' goal
  • Ronaldo Cesar 90'+4' goal
  • Ronaldo Cesar 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Braian Mansilla 18'
  • yellowcard Matias Perez 23'
  • yellowcard David Deogracia 24'
  • yellowcard Braian Mansilla 32'
  • goal Jimmy Marin 35'
  • yellowcard Bogdan Moskvichev 45'+1'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 26
Apr 29, 2024 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Rostov Arena
  • Ronaldo Cesar 31' yellowcard
  • Andrey Langovich 44' yellowcard
  • Ronaldo Cesar 81' goal
  • Nikolay Komlichenko 90'+6' goal
  • goal Jordhy Thompson 12'
  • yellowcard Braian Mansilla 41'
  • yellowcard Mohammad Ghorbani 51'
  • yellowcard Danila Prokhin 85'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2023 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Cesar Florentin 32' yellowcard
  • Vladimir Obukhov 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Matias Perez 50' yellowcard
  • Dmitriy Vorobyev 71' goal
  • Jimmy Marin 76' yellowcard
  • Braian Mansilla 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kirill Shchetinin 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Khoren Bayramyan 77'
  • goal Maksim Osipenko 85'