Jul 26, 2026 5.30pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT Stadion Gazovik

D. Khotulev 4'
M. Savelyev 36'
M. Savelyev 49'
Ruslan Kul 84'
Andrey Kasadzhikov 90'+4'

Viktor Melekhin 47'
Ygor Nogueira 45'+3'
Konstantin Kuchaev 45'+6'
Andrey Langovich 59'
Olakunle Olusegun 71'
Viktor Melekhin 74'
90'+6'
David Semenchuk 90'+6'

Orenburg vs Rostov - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions

W
L
W
L
L
W

Russian Premier League

L
W
L
W
W
L

Last game

May 17, 2026 4.00pm

Krasnodar 3 - 0 Orenburg

Rostov

All competitions

W
D
L
D
L
W

Russian Premier League

L
W
W
L
D
L

Last game

May 17, 2026 4.00pm

Rostov 0 - 1 Zenit

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (8.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Orenburg 41.92% ▲ (+0.25)

Draw 27.03% ▲ (+0.02)

Rostov 31.12% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score:

51.85% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.06% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 27.94% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 47.1% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 2.5 52.9% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 3.5 26.4% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 3.5 73.6% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 4.5 14.54% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 4.5 85.46% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Orenburg 30.74% ▼ (-0.03)

Draw 46.09% ▲ (+0.02)

Rostov 23.17% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Orenburg 50.88%

No Goal 8.73% ▲ (+0.07)

Rostov 40.39% ▼ (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 51.51% ▲ (+0.09)

Equal 8 12.74%

Under 8 35.75% ▼ (-0.10)

Over 9 39.14% ▲ (+0.08)

Equal 9 12.37% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 9 48.49% ▼ (-0.09)

Over 10.5 28.2% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 10.5 71.8% ▼ (-0.08)

Orenburg Goals

Over 1.5 39.16% ▲ (+0.13)

Under 1.5 60.84% ▼ (-0.13)

Over 2.5 16.1% ▲ (+0.09)

Under 2.5 83.9% ▼ (-0.08)

Over 3.5 5.22% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 3.5 94.78% ▼ (-0.04)

Rostov Goals

Over 0.5 64.55% ▼ (-0.16)

Under 0.5 35.45% ▲ (+0.17)

Over 1.5 30.97% ▼ (-0.18)

Under 1.5 69.03% ▲ (+0.19)

Over 2.5 11.59% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 2.5 88.41% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 3.5 3.8% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 3.5 96.2% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Orenburg 41.92%

Draw 27.04%

Rostov 31.13%

Orenburg

1-0 @ 10.65% ▲ (+0.09)

2-1 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.07)

3-1 @ 4% ▲ (+0.03)

3-0 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.03)

3-2 @ 2.62%

Other @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.05)

Total : 41.92%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.44%

0-0 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.07)

2-2 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.04)

Other @ 0.02% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 27.04%

Rostov

0-1 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.05)

0-2 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.03)

1-3 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.03)

2-3 @ 2.02%

0-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.04)

Other @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.03)

Total : 31.13%

Head to Head

Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Stadion Central’nyj im. I.P. Chayka

David Semenchuk 46'
Daniil Shantaliy 67'
Khoren Bayramyan 73'
Mohammad Mohebi 88'

Renat Golybin 72'
G. Guzina 72'
Damián Puebla 73'
G. Guzina 85'
Danila Vedernikov 90'+3'
Philipp Hilmer 90'+6'

Oct 5, 2025 10.00am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Mar 8, 2025 9.00am

1

2

HT : 1 1

FT Stadion Gazovik

Jimmy Marin 15'
Andrey Malykh 21'
Braian Mansilla 28'
Saeid Saharkhizan Gendishmin 66'
Maksim Savelyev 87'
Danila Khotulev 90'+4'

Maksim Osipenko 22'
Nikolay Komlichenko 70'

Aug 17, 2024 5.30pm

3

2

HT : 0 2

FT Rostov Arena (Rostov-na-Donu)

Nikolay Komlichenko 51'
Nikolay Komlichenko 52'
Ronaldo Cesar 90'+4'
Ronaldo Cesar 90'+6'

Braian Mansilla 18'
Matias Perez 23'
David Deogracia 24'
Braian Mansilla 32'
Jimmy Marin 35'
Bogdan Moskvichev 45'+1'

Apr 29, 2024 5.45pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT Rostov Arena

Ronaldo Cesar 31'
Andrey Langovich 44'
Ronaldo Cesar 81'
Nikolay Komlichenko 90'+6'

Jordhy Thompson 12'
Braian Mansilla 41'
Mohammad Ghorbani 51'
Danila Prokhin 85'

Nov 6, 2023 11.00am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Stadion Gazovik

Cesar Florentin 32'
Vladimir Obukhov 45'+2'
Matias Perez 50'
Dmitriy Vorobyev 71'
Jimmy Marin 76'
Braian Mansilla 88'

Kirill Shchetinin 45'+4'
Khoren Bayramyan 77'
Maksim Osipenko 85'

Form Data

Orenburg 2 - 0 CSKA

Dynamo Moscow 2 - 1 Orenburg

Rubin Kazan 1 - 2 Orenburg

Orenburg 0 - 1 Neftekhimik

Krasnodar 3 - 0 Orenburg

Orenburg 1 - 0 Krylia Sovetov

Rostov 2 - 1 Fakel

Krasnodar 3 - 3 Rostov

Fakel 3 - 1 Rostov

Rostov 0 - 0 Dinamo Stavropol'

Rostov 0 - 1 Zenit

Akron 1 - 3 Rostov