Club Friendlies 3
Jul 11, 2026 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 7, 2026 2.30pm
Dynamo Moscow 2 - 1 Orenburg

CSKA Moscow

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 4, 2026 3.30pm
CSKA 0 - 0 Botafogo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 1-0 (9.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Orenburg 35.6% (-0.23)
Draw 27.61% (-0.02)
CSKA Moscow 36.74% (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.49% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.87% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 29.13% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 45.91% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 54.09% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 24.53% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 75.47% (-0.27)
Over 4.5 13.11% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 86.89% (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Orenburg 25.49% (-0.02)
Draw 45.11% (-0.11)
CSKA Moscow 29.4% (+0.12)

Team To Score First

Orenburg 45.15% (-0.03)
No Goal 8.93% (-0.10)
CSKA Moscow 45.92% (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 59.49% (+0.14)
Equal 8 11.94%
Under 8 28.57% (-0.13)
Over 9 47.11% (+0.11)
Equal 9 12.38% (+0.03)
Under 9 40.51% (-0.14)
Over 10.5 35.44% (+0.09)
Under 10.5 64.56% (-0.10)

Orenburg Goals

Over 1.5 33.56% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 66.44% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 12.65% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.35% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.51% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.49% (-0.03)

CSKA Moscow Goals

Over 0.5 69.1% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 30.9% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 34.68% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 65.32% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 13.21% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 86.79% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 4.28% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 95.72% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Orenburg 35.6%
Draw 27.6%
CSKA Moscow 36.74%
Orenburg
1-0 @ 9.93% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.88% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.3% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.61% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.37% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.49% (+0.02)
Total : 35.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.89% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.93% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.9% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.02% (+0.01)
Total : 27.6%
CSKA Moscow
0-1 @ 10.21% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 7.99% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.21% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.2% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.76% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.11% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.26% (+0.09)
Total : 36.74%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Nov 29, 2025 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matheus Alves Nascimento 19' yellowcard
  • Danila Khotulev 55' goal
  • Matvey Lukun 60' yellowcard
  • Tamerlan Musaev 83' goal
  • yellowcard Jordhy Thompson 41'
  • yellowcard Irakli Kvekveskiri 64'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 1
Jul 21, 2025 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 24
Apr 12, 2025 10.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Aleksey Tataev 10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matvey Lukun 53'
  • goal Ivan Oblyakov 55'
  • yellowcard Milan Gajic 63'
  • goal Sekou Koita 90'+4'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 4, 2024 1.30pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT VEB Arena
  • Tamerlan Musaev 23' goal
  • Moises 26' yellowcard
  • Igor Diveyev 30' goal
  • Ivan Oblyakov 39' goal
  • Igor Diveyev 59' goal
  • Khellven 71' goal
  • Sekou Koita 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maksim Sidorov 25'
  • goal Dmitry Rybchinsky 31'
  • yellowcard Ivan Basic 89'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 19
Mar 2, 2024 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT VEB Arena
  • Tamerlan Musaev 81' goal
  • yellowcard David Deogracia 91'
  • goal Matias Perez 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Cesar Florentin 90'+6'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 6
Aug 25, 2023 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Matias Perez 34' yellowcard
  • Lucas Vera 70' goal
  • yellowcard Willyan 37'
  • goal Moises 49'
  • yellowcard Anton Zabolotny 67'
  • yellowcard Sasa Zdjelar 88'