Club Friendlies 3
Jul 11, 2026 1.00am
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 7, 2026 2.30pm
Dynamo Moscow 2 - 1 Orenburg

CSKA Moscow

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 4, 2026 3.30pm
CSKA 0 - 0 Botafogo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 36.54%. A win for Orenburg has a probability of 35.83% and a draw has a probability of 27.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Orenburg win is 1-0 (10.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.88%).

Result

Orenburg 35.83% (-0.22)
Draw 27.63% (-0.06)
CSKA Moscow 36.54% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.32% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.67% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 29.33% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 45.65% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 54.35% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 24.27% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 75.73% (-0.12)
Over 4.5 12.94% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 87.06% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Orenburg 25.5% (-0.08)
Draw 45.22% (+0.01)
CSKA Moscow 29.28% (+0.07)

Team To Score First

Orenburg 45.17% (+0.07)
No Goal 9.03% (-0.05)
CSKA Moscow 45.8% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 59.36% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.94% (-0.01)
Under 8 28.7% (-0.08)
Over 9 47% (+0.08)
Equal 9 12.36% (-0.01)
Under 9 40.64% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 35.35% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 64.65% (-0.07)

Orenburg Goals

Over 1.5 33.61% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 66.39% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 12.66% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 87.34% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.49% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.51% (+0.02)

CSKA Moscow Goals

Over 0.5 68.87% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 31.13% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 34.33% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 65.67% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 12.97% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 87.03% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 4.18% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 95.82% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Orenburg 35.83%
Draw 27.63%
CSKA Moscow 36.53%
Orenburg
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.96% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.48% (-0.02)
Total : 35.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.03% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.86%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.63%
CSKA Moscow
0-1 @ 10.28% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.95% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.19% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.14% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.73% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.07% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.17% (+0.06)
Total : 36.53%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Nov 29, 2025 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matheus Alves Nascimento 19' yellowcard
  • Danila Khotulev 55' goal
  • Matvey Lukun 60' yellowcard
  • Tamerlan Musaev 83' goal
  • yellowcard Jordhy Thompson 41'
  • yellowcard Irakli Kvekveskiri 64'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 1
Jul 21, 2025 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 24
Apr 12, 2025 10.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Aleksey Tataev 10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matvey Lukun 53'
  • goal Ivan Oblyakov 55'
  • yellowcard Milan Gajic 63'
  • goal Sekou Koita 90'+4'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 4, 2024 1.30pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT VEB Arena
  • Tamerlan Musaev 23' goal
  • Moises 26' yellowcard
  • Igor Diveyev 30' goal
  • Ivan Oblyakov 39' goal
  • Igor Diveyev 59' goal
  • Khellven 71' goal
  • Sekou Koita 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maksim Sidorov 25'
  • goal Dmitry Rybchinsky 31'
  • yellowcard Ivan Basic 89'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 19
Mar 2, 2024 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT VEB Arena
  • Tamerlan Musaev 81' goal
  • yellowcard David Deogracia 91'
  • goal Matias Perez 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Cesar Florentin 90'+6'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 6
Aug 25, 2023 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Matias Perez 34' yellowcard
  • Lucas Vera 70' goal
  • yellowcard Willyan 37'
  • goal Moises 49'
  • yellowcard Anton Zabolotny 67'
  • yellowcard Sasa Zdjelar 88'