Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 49.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.57% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 24.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%) , while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.